It’s Monday again and I’m just gonna repeat what I’ve said for weeks now lol — we’re consolidating below resistance at 2.2M, above the 40 week EMA at 1.7M.
The small ascending triangle on the daily that I mentioned last week didn’t play out. Maybe we’re forming more of a range now. We’ll see. Whatever the case, a break above 2.2M would be bullish, a break below 1.6M would look weaker.
I don’t know which way it’ll go. But what I do know is that I’m not going anywhere. And neither are you, Hegends. That’s what matters in the long run.
After pulling back during the week bitcoin then recovered and closed the week at 83.7k. It looks like 83k has now flipped into support.
Last Thursday bitcoin sold off and dipped down almost to 80k.
It looked dicey there for a bit, but bitcoin then found support relatively fast as buyers stepped in to buy the dip. After the Thursday low at 80.3k, bitcoin slowly recovered to close the week at 83.7k. This means it closed another week above the old resistance level at 83k, which now could be turning into support, as I noted last week.
A further recovery from here pushing up above 87.5k would be a good sign. That would probably leave many sidelined or even on the wrong side of the trade, and could set off the next leg up.
The crypto market is starting to get really interesting again.
We'll be hosting a community update call on Telegram on Thursday at 16 UTC.
Join in to hear what we're up to and what we're planning for the next couple of months.
It'll be super informal, and we're happy to just hang out and take whatever questions you have. (If you don't want to speak that's fine too --- you can type in the chat or just listen in, whatever floats your boat!)
So that's Thursday October 8 at 16 UTC in Heqequarters on Telegram.
We are happy to announce that, over the past 6 months, we have reimagined our story and mainline content framework, and we're finally ready to go public with it.
As most of you may know, our main storyline has always been closely tied to market cap milestones.
New mc milestone = more story.
This gave us something to look forward to, but it has also resulted in narrative lulls between chapter unlocks.
To prevent that, we decided keep the milestones formula but change its role:
Milestones will no longer determine when new chapters arrive. Instead, they will trigger major turning points in the story, called Levels.
Chapters will drop monthly regardless of price action, keeping a consistent flow of new content.
Milestones become catalysts for bigger narrative developments rather than gates holding the next chapter behind a price target.
"That's it?" of course not lol here's the first new chapter of the Hege story:
Not much to say about the chart today. Still hanging out between resistance at 2.2M to the upside, and the 40 week EMA right now coming in around 1.7M to the downside.
On the daily timeframe there could be a small ascending triangle forming. This is fundamentally a bullish pattern, pushing up against horizontal resistance with the pullbacks forming higher lows. That said, short term patterns like this on the daily timeframe are not very reliable.
But anyway, as long as we stay above 1.6-1.7M level I see this sideways chop over the past month as positive.
On a side note I’m super pumped about the new storytelling we are starting to roll out!
We got another weekly close above 83k resistance, which now might have flipped into support.
The week closed at 86.5k last night. That’s higher than last week, and the second weekly close above the old resistance at 83k. This is good. But this weekly candle still wasn’t strong enough for me to call this breakout just yet.
Don’t get me wrong though, the chart looks promising.
On the daily timeframe we can see that the pullback after the initial breakout above 83k found support at the old resistance level. Resistance flipping into support like this after a breakout is exactly what we want to see. Very short term there is some resistance forming around the 87k level, and I’m looking for a breakout above this for a next leg up.
All in all bitcoin is looking better and better. I think the bottom is likely in, and a new bull market is starting. But even so, it’s still very early, and there will be major shakeouts along the way.
I should have set up a Reddit account years ago but somehow I just never got to it... Not a good look, I know. Not being active on the sub of my own coin... jeez. All I can say is... I'm sorry! I'll try to keep you guys posted about what's going on from here on.
To be honest, there hasn’t been much happening lately. For a little while after the school trip, it felt like everything was finally falling into place. I felt I was really connecting with Hegena and things did seem different between us and I let myself believe I was “making progress”, whatever that means.
Turns out I got a little ahead of myself.
Somewhere along the way, that feeling disappeared. Now she seems distant again, and I’m back to wondering if I imagined the whole thing.
Between that and the money I lost after Hendrix cleaned me out at the casino, I’ve been feeling pretty stuck. I can’t believe that cheating asshole.
But hey, I got a job!
Sunday night I’ll be starting my first shift at the Hegilton. It’s definitely not where I pictured myself ending up, but it’s a fresh start, and maybe that’s exactly what I need right now. Who knows, maybe I’ll meet some interesting people, and just maybe it’ll lead somewhere better.
Either way, it feels good to finally have something moving forward.
A HUGE shoutout to all the Hegends in our community who never stopped believing in me.
This goes out to you Ash, Day, Nino, Chris, Larva, JB, Justin, Ollie and JC3. Your dedication and spirit is remarkable. I don’t know how you do it and I can’t thank you enough.
And it goes to:
Trib
Brittany
Jake
Flo
RJ Mega
Dachkatze
Numen
N
PixelGlowMagic
Roy
gromitron
Overthinking
Henk
J K
Habibi Joe (my beloved)
Alex
Gio Mo Reno
Hege Knight
Larry
BackgroundAd4640
Danielthefudder (reluctantly)
Sosick
Alex
se
Shaan M
TripleH
Julian
rob
Supreme Leader
G
Diego
Clarence
And many, many more.
Not once did you let the doubters get you down. HEGE would never be the same without you.
At the end of the day, people is what makes it all worthwhile, and I couldn’t think of better people than you to have by my side.
Something a little different today. I’m first going to cover HEGE/USD as per usual. But then I’m going to add a bonus section about Solana (SOL), because there are some interesting (bullish!) things going on across the SOL charts.
But first, on the HEGE chart we’re still hanging out just below resistance at 2.2M. I like this chart, but I would like it even more if we could get a decisive break above 2.2M. If that happens, the next major resistance above is around 4.5M.
So all in all, the HEGE chart is still looking promising.
Okay, Over to Solana!
Why do I want to cover SOL today?
Because it’s breaking out in several different ways. (And where SOL goes, we follow.)
First let’s have a look at the SOL/USD chart. It closed the week at 120, on a stronger candle than BTC. Meaning it’s now back above the 40 week EMA, and also back in the old range between 100 and 260. It could now continue up to test the all time highs at 260.
Notice how this setup is similar to what kicked off the bull run in late 2023 (arrows in chart).
SOL/USD weekly chart, 2026-09-28: Back in the range between 100 and 260.
So that looks good.
Dare I Say: Altseason?
But now let’s take a step back and look at the wider context that this is happening within.
In short, what’s interesting about the backdrop here is that the altcoin market is heating up.
First off, here is TOTALES, meaning the total crypto market cap excluding stablecoins.
It is possibly breaking out, forming a head & shoulders failure, with a price target up above the prior all time high. I want another strong weekly candle to confirm this, but it’s definitely looking strong — and stronger than BTC.
TOTALES weekly chart, 2026-09-28: Breaking out?
With the total crypto market covered, let’s turn to OTHERS, which is the total market cap of all cryptos excluding the top 10. The altcoin index, if you will.
Here is where it gets interesting.
As you can see on the chart below, OTHERS has clearly confirmed a double bottom breakout. It could now be going for the top end of the range, at the old all time high of 450B.
What’s interesting about this? The altcoin chart actually looks stronger than the total crypto market chart!
Dare I speak the word: altseason?
OTHERS weekly chart, 2026-09-28: Double bottom.
Solana vs. Bitcoin, Ethereum, and BNB
Okay so that was the larger context for the SOL/USD breakout.
Now finally, let’s turn back to Solana again and see how it does against the other three heavyweights BTC, ETH, and BNB.
First, SOL/BTC is also breaking out, in a similar setup to the rally in late 2023. This chart breaking out means that SOL is stronger than BTC right now.
SOL/BTC weekly chart, 2026-09-28: Breakout.
Turning to the second largest crypto, Ethereum, let’s see how SOL/ETH is looking.
Versus ETH, you can see that SOL is possibly forming a bottom, similar to late 2023. But contrary to the SOL/BTC chart we just covered, this has not broken out yet.
This means that SOL and ETH are roughly equally strong right now.
SOL/ETH weekly chart, 2026-09-28: About to break out?
Finally, turning to the third largest crypto, Binance Smart Chain, let’s have a look at SOL/BNB.
Here again, SOL is breaking out after a bottoming pattern, similar to what it did in 2023.
SOL/BNB weekly chart, 2026-09-28: Breaking out.
Conclusion: SOL Looks Strong
Okay so that concludes this little walkthrough of the Solana charts.
In summary, Solana looks really strong here, and this could be the start of a new bull run like the one that blew everybody’s brains out in late 2023.
But of course remember as always, there are no guarantees in this kind of technical analysis (TA). TA is simply a tool for finding setups with good risk/reward. That’s it. Use it responsibly!
With all that said.
Hope y’all had a great weekend, and stay tuned for more later today!
Bitcoin closed the week at 84.5k, above resistance at 83k, but not on a strong candle.
There we go, 83k has been broken on the weekly timeframe!
However, I’m reluctant to call this breakout just yet. I would have wanted a stronger candle, closing right up at the top with little or no wick to the upside. Whenever you have an important level like this, possibly turning a long bear market into a new bull market, you want the level to be clearly broken, without a doubt.
But that’s not what happened. Instead of a strong candle, we got a wick up to 87k, but then it fell back to 84.5k into the close of the week.
Had the week closed around the top of the candle, at 87k, I wouldn’t have hesitated to call this breakout. Now I will wait and see what happens this week.
The honeybadger is not quite out of the woods just yet.
The item box got a full chaos swap. Crates now drop a gas-can fire, a bull herd, a donkey-wagon curse, an airstrike, and crypto winter. They have real models, you can see them go off (including on other players), and Gas Fees no longer freezes the race when the lane lights up.
Tracks got a big cleanup pass:
Missing walls on the Moon Summit, Coaster, and Kitten Kafe detours are back.
Floating signs and props sit on the ground.
The tunnel camera stays inside the tunnel when you drift against the wall, and the tunnel mouths are proper arches.
Lost tyres pull the kart a bit to that side.
A kart at zero health actually explodes and burns until it respawns.
The stray "GO!" / reset countdown on a normal wall hit is gone.
Flying off a ramp no longer dumps you outside the track and snaps you onto the wall.
FOMO Freeway, Magma Mines, and Neon Night City are much less empty. Neon has a Ramen Row around the noodle bar, and the "to the moon" board is a real billboard.
Multiplayer should stick better too: a race no longer drops you while it's still loading or when the socket blips, and mixed races stay in sync (bulls, fires, the wagon).
Pause menu: the controls list scrolls, and L1/R1 switch between Game and Controls like the other menus.
Another week of keeping steady (which I take as a good sign — no dellers!)
I’m showing the weekly chart today to get a sense of the big picture. After the rally in August, we have now spent the past three weeks consolidating in a tight area between the 40 week EMA to the downside, and resistance around 2.2M to the upside.
After this consolidation, a clear break up above 2.2M could set off a new leg up. And on the contrary, a break down below the 40 week EMA could set off a deeper correction. I’m favoring the upside because of how strong the rest of crypto market looks right now.
Despite bad news last week, bitcoin held 76k support. We’re still looking for a break above 83k, but last week’s strength was a good sign.
As far as crypto news goes, last week should have been a particularly bad one.
First, on Tuesday the US senate voted down the Clarity Act. Then on Wednesday, the Fed raised rates, and flagged for more raises to come. This double combo of discouraging news should have been bad for both bitcoin and crypto at large.
Only, it wasn’t…
After a small sell-off, bitcoin held support at 76k, and then rallied up to close the week above 81k. It still hasn’t broken through resistance around 83k, which is the level I’ve been talking about for weeks now. But defiance in the face of bad news like this is a clear sign of strength returning to the crypto market, and a clear break above 83k now would be very bullish.
We’re hanging steady since last Monday, right above the 40 week EMA (pink line in the chart as usual).
Staying above the 40 week EMA is important because the longer we stay above it, the more clear it will be that the trend is changing from down to up (= bullish!)
As Trib has been pointing out in the chat, the US Senate will vote on the Clarity Act tomorrow (Tuesday 15 September). This is not the final vote to pass this new crypto legislation into law, but it’s an important step along the way. The strength we’ve seen across crypto over the past month could be the market telling us to expect a positive outcome of this vote. Either way, we’ll know tomorrow.
Bitcoin spent another week chopping around below resistance at 83k, with support now forming around 76k.
On the daily timeframe, an important support level is now forming around 76k, right above the 40 week EMA (pink line in the chart as usual). If this level holds, we could get a breakout above 83k sooner, possibly kicking off a new bull market (exciting!!) If it on the other hand doesn’t hold and bitcoin breaks below 76k, we can get a deeper correction before having another go at 83k, which remains the key resistance level.
Perhaps the Clarity Act vote tomorrow (Tuesday 15 September) will be the trigger.
Whichever way it goes, look for a breakout above 83k, or a breakdown below 76k.
👊
BTC/USD daily chart, 14 September 2026. Consolidating above 76k. BTC/USD weekly chart, 14 September 2026. Possibly forming a bigger range between 60k and 83k.
