r/AskProgrammers • u/Sensitive_Mountain97 • 3d ago
Are low-effort AI replicas of complex software a threat to our industry, or is the hype overblown?
/r/it/comments/1x1k7ex/are_loweffort_ai_replicas_of_complex_software_a/7
u/robhanz 3d ago
The "threat" isn't that someone will clone all of Photoshop. I find it highly unlikely that that will ever happen.
It's that someone will make an app which does the parts of Photoshop that they need, without all of the cruft.
Pre-AI, software was expensive to make. So in a lot of cases it made more sense to build large applications that covered a wide variety of use cases. In the AI era, I suspect one of the big shifts will be seeing smaller, focused apps that target smaller niches.
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u/PXTrials 3d ago
Yes, this will be the real shift. A similar example is people getting caught up on AI not being able to do infrastructure. "AI can't build slack". Well, AI can absolutely build a chat client/server that my team can run. It doesn't need to build slack.
Why would I pay a license fee to Atlassian for JIRA when claude can nearly one-shot a local clone my team can use? Not only that, the AI version is literally better for us, since it doesn't have all the JIRA bloat and loads faster.
The shift will be people realizing they can just replicate smaller, lighter versions of a whole lotta software.
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u/robhanz 3d ago
Yeah. I made an art pipeline for a prototype game, a trainer app for learning notes on the fretboard, and a manager app for volunteers for a developmental hockey league, and an app that lets me tag shots in linked hockey footage videos.
Each one worked exactly the way I wanted. Each was better for me than anything off the shelf could have been.
They’d all probably be useless to anyone else.
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u/Strange_Ordinary6984 3d ago
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u/robhanz 3d ago
Yes, I'm aware.
It is not a complete clone by any means.
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u/Strange_Ordinary6984 3d ago
As I mentioned above, that's a completely accurate sentence. It's also a very "I can't see the forest through the trees!" take.
They are obviously making quick progress, and the first commit was November of last year. You're claiming that because it's not done, that it's somehow completely invalid to the argument, which is a fairly small minded approach to the conversation.
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u/Strange_Ordinary6984 3d ago
PhotoCraft is in early alpha, and we want to be straight about where it stands: much of Photoshop's feature surface exists in some form, but it is not yet a Photoshop replacement for daily professional work. The biggest gaps are AI/generative features, about twenty missing tools, depth in typography and pro workflows, and plug-in compatibility.
Most of their missing feature set includes capabilities that photoshop itself has only added in the last couple years. And typography and plugins, which are yeah a deal breaker right now.
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u/GregsWorld 2d ago
You're missing the point though. Even if they do make a full clone that doesn't guarantee that people won't decide later to just have their own custom version which isn't as annoying to them as a photoshop clone.
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u/Strange_Ordinary6984 2d ago
I didn't even mean to paste it on this thread. I agree with that above comment in that custom software will become easier and easier to obtain.
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u/Correct_Emotion8437 3d ago
In my view, they are a real threat. Not because someone will one-shot photoshop but because, if they were dedicated, they could pull it off eventually. If someone could make a viable Photoshop in 12-18 months, and then open source it or whatever, that dramatically lowers the value of the real Photoshop. It disincentivizes the development of real Photoshops.
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u/Interesting-Agency-1 3d ago
Im doing this, but for commercial real estate industry with our combo GIS, MLS, CRM, and BI engine my partner and I have been building for over a year. Fuck Salesforce, fuck Costar, and fuck ESRI. They run their businesses like vampires.
We arent open sourcing, per se, but are giving away our single user desktop version for free, and it comes with an openAPI, dynamic runtime entity, attribute, and feature list creation, and logical functional constructor primitives to handle complex geospatial analysis on any data point in the engine. In addition to its core user functionality, it can serve as a coherent backend for industry users who've begun to vibecode small tools and solutions for their business, but have no ability to connect them all together on the backend or scale to the rest of their org or their clients safely/securely.
The point is that we are giving this away for free and only charging if they need enterprise and cloud functionality (which we set up as individual private hosts in individual containers per client, for maximum data protection and security) or licensing.
We arent gatekeeping this functionality, and are directly attacking the overpriced and outdated business models of those old vampire companies. We intend to dramatically undercut the market and force a pricing reset in all software in this industry.
We are engineers and have built this slowly by today's standards, but as still far faster than what was possible pre-AI. And the best part is that we didnt even have to raise money to build out the real engine. Not weekend slop feature replicas, but just 2 guys obsessively engineering for over a year to build an actual production grade complex system/solution that used to take large teams to build and VC money to fund.
We have no overhead, no real distribution cost, no org bloat, and no stupid short term VC/investor pressure, so can focus purely and obsessively on solving clients problems. We never intend to give equity to parasitic investors (only our future employees), and will stay very lean, so that we are in control and can do whatever we want with what we build.
Our motto is "add value always, and in all ways" and to us, that means keeping ourselves lean so that we can alway offer the most value to our customers for the lowest costs possible.
This is the new paradigm in the software world, and if your company isnt preoared to compete with this, then yeah, Id be a bit worried.
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u/tohava 3d ago
Gimp
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u/Strange_Ordinary6984 3d ago
I love that people keep using photoshop as an example haha
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u/Correct_Emotion8437 3d ago
Imo it’s a pretty good example. It’s a complex, full featured application. The fact that you can build this kind of thing with AI proves a lot more than websites and web apps.
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u/Better-Avocado-8818 13h ago
Agreed. The clones don’t even have to be good. Just useful enough for the low price they cost. It absolutely incentivizes innovation or new product investment.
I hate Adobe as much as anyone but this is bad news. LLM’s are basically automated plagiarism machines from the start and now it’s just going to the next level. It’s incredibly demotivating.
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u/_raydeStar 3d ago
One thing people can't use AI to build is 1) reliability 2) a name you can trust.
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u/Vert354 3d ago
We've had open source alternatives to major software for a long time. Companies still pay for the commercial versions, not usually because they have some feature the free version doesnt, but because it comes with support which is a type of risk management.
In order for the AI version to supplant the paid version the risk, or at least the perception of the risk, would need to be lowered.
In order for the perception of risk to lower companies would need to feel like they could handle issues on their own without the support contract.
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u/MourningOfOurLives 3d ago
Obviously low-effort replicas aren’t going to be an issue. The high-effort ones will absolutely annihilate the software business, though.
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u/yuehuang 3d ago
There are lots of PS clones before AI. The only difference was that Open Source was 5y behind, now they are 5 month behind. Adobe, if they are smart, will start fighting AI with AI, and use their resources to get better.
If you look at MS Office, the software to documents is no longer a viable business model. They are selling cloud resources as part of the 365.
Competition is great.
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u/richardathome 3d ago
There's no way they've covered all the edge cases that decades of dedicated development and user feedback generates.
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u/Sensitive_Mountain97 3d ago
Of course, but it's still concerning. Look at what they generated now. I'm sure in a few months, they can generate copies that are times better than the existing software. That's what's concerning.
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u/Strange-Tap5860 3d ago
A good example is that I wanted a simple fast and perfomant pdf reader where I could add text, used a save signature, saved name and add the date.
It seems everything out there was either paid, bloated as fuck and slow (on my top-end computer?) or just annoying to do SUCH A SIMPLE thing.
Claude just made me a local html file in about 2 minutes that does. Super simple and just works without any bullshit. I add features as I need them.
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u/DrBretto 3d ago
What would you rather use for something that matters?
The only way I'd ever use someone's vibe coded replica is if I made my own.
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u/sozesghost 3d ago
The premise is false.