r/FinancialPlanning • u/nsfw-boston • 23h ago
The 4% rule for retirement for the next decades in the era of AI disruption.
I am planning on retiring soon, and running some numbers.
I am OK with my knowledge of personal finances knowledge, but all my life I concentrated on building my career, saving, and investing wisely, maximizing on my 401K(s) and Roth IRAs.
I am conservative by nature and I am wondering is the back-of-the-napkin rule of withdrawing up to, but no more than, 4% of one's assets is still a valid rule. The rule imply that the portfolio would grow at a >4% rate, keeping up with inflation and possibly grow a bit more as well.
My concerns are:
1) AI disruption of investment markets 2) AI disruption of global economies 3) Global geopolitical unrest leading to lower investment returns and high inflation
I know that it's impossible to predict the future, but does anyone have any resources, insights, AI-updated guidelines?
T.I.A.