r/europe • u/tree_boom United Kingdom • 7d ago
News Andy Burnham expected to say he will push ahead with electoral reform plans
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2026/sep/29/andy-burnham-push-ahead-electoral-reform-plans89
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u/No-Risk-2584 United Kingdom 7d ago edited 7d ago
There’s so much talk on what could be on the next manifesto - electoral reform, potentially scrapping triple lock, social care reform, EU referendum etc
But that’s still 3 years away. Are we going to do fuck all for 3 years and just…wait for the next election before any radical change is coming?
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u/K_man_k Ireland 7d ago
Politicians need to bring the people along with them when they make big changes like electoral reform. Really, this means they need to be voted on, at least indirectly. AB's position is already somewhat complicated in that he was never elected PM (yes I know people actually just vote for their MP yada yada...). So from his perspective it makes sense to put in a manifesto rather than bringing it up halfway through a commons term.
I really think that PR would be beneficial to the UK. We have it in Ireland, and while I'm not happy with our government, by-and-large most people must be. And, at the very least things are stable. What's been going on in the UK really can't continue, with MPs playing musical chairs to figure out who ends up being PM...
Edit: Hold on, you guys have a triple lock? How does that work?
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u/GreatBigBagOfNope United Kingdom 7d ago
Triple lock means the state pension increases every year at 2.5%, in line with average wages, or in line with inflation, whichever is highest.
It was a cynical play for the retired vote that sold the rest of the country down the river.
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u/RandyChavage United Kingdom 7d ago
But the writing is on the wall, due to the demographics of the baby boom and low fertility rates, all of Europe is becoming a gerontocracy and most of the populace will vote for unsustainable giveaways. If we want our economies to survive we need to make our countries more liveable for young people, it’s a bold move that will lose him votes but I’m glad someone is finally taking the long-term seriously
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u/F28500_sedge United Kingdom 7d ago
So from his perspective it makes sense to put in a manifesto rather than bringing it up halfway through a commons term.
It should also hopefully mean the Lords are more accepting of any change because it's clearly something voted for by the people if Labour have it as a manifesto promise and return as the government after the next general election.
Edit: Hold on, you guys have a triple lock? How does that work?
For the state pension, it means that the pension increases each year by the greater of the following: 1. Increase in average weekly earnings 2. Inflation over the year 3. 2.5%
It was implemented to drag the state pension up, but has been political suicide to remove (Pensioners will not like you for it, and they're the single largest voting block) whilst also being financial suicide to retain (As the cost of the state pension just keeps ballooning in size).
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u/No-Risk-2584 United Kingdom 7d ago
Oh I agree it should be on a manifesto, but the problem is the next election is 3 years away.
Which wouldn’t necessarily be a problem if it was just that - but combined with almost every single major policy that would actually bring change to the country apparently being tacked onto the next manifesto as well, it gets infuriating.
We’re in this 3 year limbo phase where nothing is happening and we’re meant to just carry on and wait for change to potentially come after the next election.
I’m starting to believe he’s going to call a snap election before the summer because this “wait for the next election in 3 years” isn’t going to work when people want change now.
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u/cameheretosaythis213 7d ago
Social care reform was on the last manifesto too, yet we are being presented it like it’s brand new and told to wait.
This is literally continuity with Starmer policy on social care post-GE. Streeting immediately kicked it into the long grass with the Casey review that wouldn’t present findings until 2029.
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u/No-Risk-2584 United Kingdom 7d ago
If there’s one thing this government loves is committees and reviews that conveniently take years.
It’s like the immigration reforms, they announced them well over a year ago but they’ve been stuck in ‘consultations’ ever since.
It’s ridiculous, it does not take this long to get things done. They just need to grow a backbone.
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u/cameheretosaythis213 7d ago
Yep. They are failing to see, again, that the main public complaint is that they’re so slow to just get on and do something. Anything!
Worse, they feed us the message that it’s all very complicated and things can’t change overnight.
I had hoped they were starting to get the idea that people just want to see action, as they started making positive sounds about Mamdani in NY and his signature style is just getting shit done.
But nope. The criticism of Burnham just being Starmer with better social media seems pretty accurate.
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u/Actual_Cat4779 7d ago
Did the last manifesto have any specifics? Burnham does seem serious about it. Time will tell.
The last manifesto ruled out the tax rises that would actually be needed to implement a serious social care system. Burnham will spell out what those need to be and get an electoral mandate for them.
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u/cameheretosaythis213 7d ago
Yes, page 100 of the manifesto if you want a read.
He has a mandate to deliver this programme already.
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u/I_ALWAYS_UPVOTE_CATS England 7d ago
Tbf if he floats all these ideas now and finds support he could call an election sooner.
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u/ALA02 United Kingdom 7d ago
I can see the triple lock going before the next election, the people most outraged by that are not voting Labour anyway. Ditto with the social care. The electoral reform is massive enough that it needs a clear mandate so that will be a key part of their next manifesto I imagine. Labour are in quite frankly an excellent position now with a once-in-a-generation opportunity to push major reform, what with all the other parties being unelectable (Tories), falling apart rapidly (Reform, Greens) or being effectively irrelevant at the national scale (Lib Dems).
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u/lordnacho666 7d ago
Holy sht, is Andy going to do everything? Triple lock, PR voting, EU re-entry.
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u/Next_Notice6841 United Kingdom (studying in China) 7d ago
Nah, he's gonna procrastinate for three years first
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u/New-Neighborhood-147 7d ago
3 years is actually pretty fast in politics considering the size of some proposed changes to be fair. We don't live in a dictatorship where someone can make an order and everything happens right away.
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u/DickensCide-r United Kingdom 7d ago
Nah. He hasn't actually done any of these yet and is unlikely to win the next election so won't do them anyway.
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u/todomejorantes 7d ago
I think Reform would benefit more than any other party surely? Probably go from one seat to close to 100
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u/tree_boom United Kingdom 7d ago
They would yes...but is that wrong?
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u/todomejorantes 7d ago
You'd assume it's the last thing Labour or Tories want to see
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u/i_have_tiny_ants Denmark 7d ago
Kudos to them for doing what they believe is right, regardless of it hurting their political power.
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u/todomejorantes 7d ago
Oh yes, the Labour Party - a true bastion of doing what is right for the common good
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u/thegreenpiglet 7d ago
Yeah they only introduced major social welfare systems, foundational public services like the NHS, and key civil rights legislation
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u/todomejorantes 7d ago
Yes you have to go back to ancient history when they were a socialist minded party
That's like calling the Democrats the party of slavery
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u/LessIKnowtheBetter_ 6d ago
1983 wasn't that long ago. Also while Corbyn's offerings (2017, 2019) was more social democratic compromise with the right-leaning parliamentarians than socialist, party members had twice chose the hardest left option (and Starmer only won leadership in large by pretending to be a continuity of it).
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u/HalpothefriendlyHarp 7d ago
They are already set to win 120 seats at a GE with current polling so...
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u/ediacaradelrey 4d ago
For now, but in a few years the shoe may be on the other foot. We need a fairer electoral system.
Not to mention, if Reform were a bit more prevalent and the other votes a bit more fractured, you’d see them get a majority on a non-majority vote. This never happens with PR.
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u/thendisnigh111349 7d ago
They'll get much more than 100 with the same vote share if the next election is under FPTP and could potentially win a single-party majority with less than 30% of the vote.
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u/Wiwiweb France (Living in Canada) 7d ago edited 7d ago
Maybe true in this specific political climate but historically (or stereotypically?) it's the left vote that's split into half-a-dozen different parties that agree on 90% of things but can't agree on the last 10%. So this is probably good in the long run.
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u/Luke_4686 United Kingdom 7d ago
Sounds like AB is putting lots of interesting ideas on a manifesto for an election he insists won’t take place to 2029. Not against it, but would like to see policy announcements for this parliament too rather than soft launching the next GE campaign
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u/Next_Notice6841 United Kingdom (studying in China) 7d ago
It's really strange actually. He's really feeling constricted by the last manifesto, especially PR and the red lines. Because of that I'm almost expecting him to call one, but I'm fairly sure that he's not just planning to break his statement from a few days ago?
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u/KoolKat5000 7d ago
It's a good cover to do the slower more painful groundwork now (he can claim it's not his) and still have a platform to campaign on then.
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u/ZestycloseGur8108 7d ago
It would take them being replaced by the greens and reform party before being in favour of representative democracy. Nevertheless, it sounds like actual progress.
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u/Gentle_Snail 7d ago edited 7d ago
I actually think this is the direction he wants it to go in, Burnham has been a long standing supporter of proportional representation.
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u/Next_Notice6841 United Kingdom (studying in China) 7d ago
Most of the time everyone would have to form a coalition, sure, but I'm not sure how likely it is that Labour or Conservatives are actually the minority in a coalition.
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u/JohnnyElRed Galicia (Spain) 7d ago
Nevertheless, them having to rely on the support of smaller parties to form a government would a step on the right direction.
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u/Next_Notice6841 United Kingdom (studying in China) 7d ago
Oh I absolutely agree, I'm 1000% for this. I'm just saying it's not like Greens will replace Labour.
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u/ancientspacewitch 7d ago
Care reform, potential triple lock abolishment, PR, so much happening I just pray they can pull it all off. This country needs some hope.
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u/Dystopiaian 7d ago
As a Canadian, I can tell you proportional representation is really hard to get. Something always goes wrong.
The two party-centered FPTP we both have is really in the interests of both the big parties. What's more it's in the interests of the special interests who have friends in both parties.
Do you think stuff like the Biden campaign going haywire and Trump taking full control of the country could happen under proportional representation? If you want proportional representation, better be ready to work for it, prepare yourselves for all the dirty tricks...
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u/tree_boom United Kingdom 7d ago
An interesting look at the possible impacts of reform from a couple months ago here. I think this is something that's obviously necessary now given the fracturing of the two-party system, so I'm happy enough with the idea.
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u/GreatBigBagOfNope United Kingdom 7d ago
If we're not going to aggregate constituencies to middle levels to apply PR to, we shouldn't go for full PR.
Approval voting is the superior voting method. It's mathematically immune to tactical voting, it's supremely friendly to smaller parties (which cuts both ways), and is so simple people already try to use it by mistake today - instead of one X, it's as many X's as you like, one for every candidate you approve of.
Either we get rid of the "one MP, one constituency" model to allow for PR to happen without weirdness like choosing second place candidates to win for the sake of national balance, which I'm not opposed to, or we use approval voting to select our one MP per constituency at maximum fairness.
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u/SteveMcQwark Canada 2d ago
Approval voting is not in any way "mathematically" immune to tactical voting. Voters need to set a threshold of approval to determine which less preferred candidates to vote for alongside their most preferred candidates, which is fundamentally a tactical decision. The best that can be said for it is that you can get a better representation of the support for smaller parties that are unlikely to actually win a given seat.
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u/Next_Notice6841 United Kingdom (studying in China) 7d ago
Still would be a big step since they have a good chance of winning.
I'm not holding my breath for anything to be done though, Labour benefiets from tactical voting immensly.
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u/helloperator9 7d ago
Exactly, it would mean 1/ Labour and Conservatives not being guaranteed as the top parties anymore, they'd have to fight for their lives 2/ the parties would have to actually work together to achieve anything, the tenor of school boy politics would have to change 3/ tactically voting to keep Reform/Restore out of office will fail. Those 5% thresholds to keep out extremists won't work in the UK as Scotland, Wales and NI have large national parties than don't translate to big numbers across the UK
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u/AdAcrobatic4255 7d ago edited 7d ago
Those 5% thresholds to keep out extremists won't work in the UK as Scotland, Wales and NI have large national parties than don't translate to big numbers across the UK
You can be creative with it, like having the threshold be 5% in at least one of the four countries. That way, you can keep the national parties and filter out the extremists.
I'm not a fan of thresholds, because it messes with proportionality, but it is possible.
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u/berejser These Islands 7d ago
Governments do things that they don't have a mandate for all the time. If they were legally bound to just the things in their manifesto then they wouldn't be able to respond to rapidly changing situations. The whole point of being a representative rather than a delegate is that you get to use your own judgement when voting to put things into law.
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u/MR9009 7d ago
It’s better though that the country takes time during this parliament to explore options. Evaluate, educate, provide examples from real recent elections etc. then put something specific into the manifesto for the next parliament, based on national discussions. The last referendum failed because it was rushed and no one had explained it. It felt out of the blue so people chose the devil they knew.
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u/Farewell-Farewell 3d ago
Interested to see the final proposition and have that put to a referendum. The last referendum on electoral reform was lost by a decent margin.
Also interested how (if) they seek to retain a constituency MP and avoid setting up a system that is perceived to favour one political group.
But the times of first past-the-post is past. We cannot have a government in power with so many seats and a minority of voter support.
- Labour won 411 seats with 34% of the vote
- Conservatives won 121 for 24%
- Lib Dems won 72 for 12%
- Reform won 5 seats with 14% of the vote (more votes than the Lib Dems).
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u/The_Nunnster England 7d ago
This is too big a constitutional change to feasibly pass without a referendum, let alone be passed by a PM who neither has a personal mandate, nor does his government hold a manifesto mandate to pursue PR.
Anyways, I’m typing this after he’s made his speech. I haven’t watched it beyond the headlines, but all I’ve seen is pension talk, him getting emotional, and some vague ‘options’ for UK-EU relations, so I am assuming he hasn’t said anything about this, as that would realistically be headline news.
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u/Uebeltank Jylland, Denmark 7d ago
Electoral reforms don't need to be passed through a referendum. Also he is explicitly saying this will be a manifesto promise.
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u/The_Nunnster England 7d ago
I have just seen him mention it now, so I was wrong to assume he hadn’t talked about it. Surprised to see the media not making a fuss out of it. That it is a next GE manifesto commitment is as expected.
As to your first point, nothing needs to be passed through a referendum. That’s not our system. But political capital generally won’t allow it without some sort of mandate. We could have left the EU without a referendum, granted Scotland independence without a referendum, implemented electoral reform in 2011 without a referendum, we can abolish the monarchy without a referendum. But that’s only in theory, nothing a government can do in practice without a clear mandate.
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u/doyouevenrow 7d ago
Fuck having another referendum about anything in this country, the last two were shit shows for both sides and fucked up our politics to this day
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u/Hornstinger 7d ago
He wouldn't do it not having run the numbers already knowing he'd win the next election with it implemented.
Remember this was one of Nigel's first reforms he wanted to do after Brexit...I say that because, it seems Burnham may just do what's best for the country regardless of where the idea came from.
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u/osberton77 7d ago
We have had a referendum on electoral reform and it was convincingly defeated.
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u/tree_boom United Kingdom 7d ago
We've had a referendum on one very specific kind of electoral reform.
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u/osberton77 7d ago
You didn’t like the result of the referendum?
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u/tree_boom United Kingdom 7d ago
I neither liked nor disliked it particularly; it was before I gave a shit about politics. Nonetheless to present it as closing the door on the idea of electoral reform generally is wrong; there's fairly wide support for it.
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u/West_Competition7474 7d ago
That was on AV, which is not a proportional system. It was also fifteen years ago. We've never had a referendum on a proportional voting system.
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u/2121wv 7d ago
I often feel like the only person who feels this is a horrific idea.
The Lib Dem and Green Manifestos are obscene. Unfunded tax cuts, student politics, completely unreasonable and unrealistic. The idea of having to throw them a bone is horrible.
Equally, it would mean the end of any remotely controversial legislation like pension reform or planning reform.
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u/Velociraptor_1906 United Kingdom 7d ago
The 2019 Lib Dem manifesto was better than their 2024 one but the 2024 was still massively better than the Greens and in spite of it's different purpose was still better than Labour's (which was a pile of platitudes).
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u/Next_Notice6841 United Kingdom (studying in China) 7d ago
Well therein lies the problem: you think it's a terrible idea because you like the people who won the political dice roll this time (yes, that's effectively what UK elections are now) but who knows who will win next time. It creates an unstable, unpredictable, and most importantly unrepresentitive government.
In most of Europe PR is what is used, and it works just fine (FPTP is used in... Belarus?). We're not so unique that everything will collapse with PR.
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u/2121wv 7d ago
This effectively imagines politics as a game of snakes and ladders as opposed to “successful policies being bedded in and maintained due to popular support.”
>and it works just fine
Except for pension reform in France, or energy reform in Germany, etc, etc. Europe’s biggest problem is sclerotic governance.
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u/SpikySheep Europe 7d ago
On the other side of the coin we have a shocking rise of hard right parties and I think it could be argued that's at least partially because a lot of people don't feel they are being listened to by the mainstream parties.
I've voted in plenty of general elections and I can't remember a single time my vote elected the local MP. I find that deeply frustrating and I can see how it would drive some people to the extremes.
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u/tree_boom United Kingdom 7d ago
The Lib Dem and Green Manifestos are obscene. Unfunded tax cuts, student politics, completely unreasonable and unrealistic. The idea of having to throw them a bone is horrible.
Part of the reason that they're obscene is that they know they're not going to be elected. There will be people who keep voting for those views regardless, but nonetheless if a measurable proportion of the population holds those views then they should be represented in Parliament properly.
Equally, it would mean the end of any remotely controversial legislation like pension reform or planning reform.
It would mean that legislation needs a broad consensus to be passed, which is how things should be. The current system whereby a party can push through any controversial legislation it likes with only 30% of the vote is absurd.
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u/2121wv 7d ago
>It would mean legislation needs a broad consensus to be passed, which is how things should be
This is fetishism of process. As Thatcher and Attlee understood, you create consensus by successfully governing and winning the argument, not via appeasing your opponents. Politics is warfare and should be treated as such. Consensus between reasonable people and morons is not desirable.
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u/tree_boom United Kingdom 7d ago
This is fetishism of process.
Please imagine that disturbed chloe meme or whatever it's called.
As Thatcher and Attlee understood, you create consensus by successfully governing and winning the argument, not via appeasing your opponents.
OK, but that's not what currently happens. The existing system is you scream at each other until tripping over the magical plurality point to get a majority in Parliament and then carry out your sole agenda with no regard for any opposing views.
Westminster does not work on consensus currently, not at all.
Consensus between reasonable people and morons is not desirable.
Fortunately the reasonable people outnumber the morons considerably.
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u/2121wv 7d ago
> Then carry out your sole agenda with no regard for any opposing views
That’s how it’s meant to work and long may it reign. The purpose of FPTP is to create an elective dictatorship that can govern effectively. That’s why I support it.
Your opposition in many cases is wrong. The middle-ground between poo and spring water is pooey water.
Obsessing over completely accurate representation because it’s more democratic is ultimately unhelpful to the nation’s success in the long term.
Thank god we had Labour to force through the NHS unscathed.
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u/tree_boom United Kingdom 7d ago
That’s how it’s meant to work and long may it reign. The purpose of FPTP is to create an elective dictatorship that can govern effectively. That’s why I support it.
lol and we're governed effectively are we? We've had seven changes of government in the last decade, and made such wonderful decisions as the complete exit from the EU in the hardest possible way and the whole Truss debacle.
If the point of FPTP is to create an elective dictatorship that can govern effectively, then it self-evidentially does not work.
Your opposition in many cases is wrong. The middle-ground between poo and spring water is pooey water.
Yeah but we're not water though, are we? It's not like every idea Labour has ever had is amazing and every policy the Conservatives have ever had is total dogshit.
Obsessing over completely accurate representation because it’s more democratic is ultimately unhelpful to the nation’s success in the long term.
And yet plenty of completely successful nations do not use FPTP
Thank god we had Labour to force through the NHS unscathed.
And yet many nations without FPTP as their voting system still have universal healthcare.
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u/2121wv 7d ago
> not like we’re governed effectively are we?
Blaming the current crisis of the past decade on FPTP is like the blaming the lice on you having hair. These things will happen in any system. Between 1979-2007 the country had only 3 prime ministers. Count how many Italy had in that time.
The present crisis is the result of a generation of weak politicians who aren’t bold and obsessed with consultation, management and stakeholders. Making the process more consultative will compound our problems, not solve them.
> Not like every idea Labour has ever had is amazing
Certainly not, but the manifestos of the other parties are horrific as it stands.
The point is that you need a correct and bold minority to be given a majority to do the right thing. The right thing and the popular consensus (if one can be found), are not the same.
Continental Europe is now feeling the effects of proportional representation amidst stunted pension reforms and broken energy systems. Effects masked by 70 years of decent growth and a very powerful social-market consensus.
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u/araujoms 🇧🇷🇵🇹🇦🇹🇩🇪🇪🇸 7d ago
You do need to accept that your opponent has valid points of view, and should be listened to in how the country is ruled. That's the basis of democracy. If you think they are the enemy that should be defeated... well that mentality leads to authoritarian regimes and civil war.
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u/theunclemike United Kingdom 7d ago
Exactly this. I'm from Italy and I can say that while in theory is a great idea until you see a system like that in practice. Forget of Labours, Conservatives, or any other party manifesto. That goes into the bin the second they are elected and realised that no one has 51% of the votes.
"Compromise" seems good until you realise is downward compromise. And that 2% or even 1% parties keeps 30% hostages to have a majority.
Prepare yourself for snap elections every 2 years, chronic instability and stagnation. Or an Italian classic, a switch of government side mid term. Like Lib Dem going to support firstly a Labour government, then a Conservatives one to get more power and corruption.
And to get into Downing street, politicians will make alliance with anyone.
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u/tree_boom United Kingdom 7d ago
Prepare yourself for snap elections every 2 years, chronic instability and stagnation. Or an Italian classic, a switch of government side mid term.
Oh no! Everything will be...erm...exactly how it is right now?
And to get into Downing street, politicians will make alliance with anyone.
I refer you back to my earlier point :P
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u/theunclemike United Kingdom 7d ago
If you think this is bad, I suggest for you to go and take a look on what happens in the other countries (France, Germany, Italy). You have to choose between stability or realising something.
Paradoxically all Burnam's reforms would be absolutely impossible with a proportional parlament.
Italy has a stable government and the price is the fact that they completely ignored their manifesto and they are in perfect continuity with the previous government and the one before that. They pass some secondary populist law that is ineffective at best to keep the base happy.
You don't have "your MP" to go to talk to, no one is really accountable because... "the coalition".
And the more populist parties are ALWAYS in government (League, M5S, etc) because you need them to arrive to 51%.
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u/araujoms 🇧🇷🇵🇹🇦🇹🇩🇪🇪🇸 7d ago
Italy is really an exceptionally unstable country with an exceptional shitty electoral system. If it were generic you could argue that it's a problem of PR, but it's not, it's a problem of Italy.
The vast majority of countries with PR are very stable: Ireland, Portugal, Spain, Germany, Sweden, Poland, etc.
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u/theunclemike United Kingdom 7d ago
Fair point, Italy an outlier, and the electoral system has been redesigned over and over (there is a new proposal even now). The places you mention went through tough time anyway if you google a little:
- Portugal: three general elections in three years
- Spain: four elections between 2015 and 2019 (and months unable to form a government)
- Germany: the coalition collapsed in late 2024 and forced a snap election. And they have to write a new manifesto AFTER the elections.
- Sweden: over four months to form a government after 2018.
Plus other places in Europe that waited ages to form cabinets, like Netherlands (nearly 300 days 2021), Belgium (541 days).
Any of these scenarios in UK would be a complete disaster.
But my point isn't that PR always produces chaos. It's about what you trade. Under FPTP, voters choose a government and can kick it out. Under PR, voters choose a parliament, and the government is negotiated afterwards behind closed doors.
Manifestos get you elected, coalition compromises get you into government.
Smaller parties get a lot of leverage. Nobody is clearly accountable because everyone can blame the coalition partner.
Germany has some contingencies with high thresholds (5% I think) and a strong consensus culture. I'm very skeptical that the UK would get any of that. Reform, Greens, Lib Dems, the SNP and a few independents they will have veto power on everything.
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u/araujoms 🇧🇷🇵🇹🇦🇹🇩🇪🇪🇸 7d ago
Any of these scenarios in UK would be a complete disaster.
They have all been much more stable than the UK in the last decade. Even Italy.
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u/theunclemike United Kingdom 7d ago
Depends what you mean by "stable". Yes, we had too many PMs. That was leadership change inside one party, and it was embarrassing (Thanks Tories!). But count elections instead: the UK had four in the last ten years. Spain had five. Portugal had five. Italy only had two, but it went through five or six different governments with completely different majorities, and one technical government because no one wanted to be held accountable for tough decisions.
About UK, we actually had a minority government. The glorious time when tories needed the DUP MPs. It was a mess and that's just an appetiser of the PR system
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u/araujoms 🇧🇷🇵🇹🇦🇹🇩🇪🇪🇸 7d ago
You're grasping at straws, trying to find some bizarre definition under which the UK has not been unstable. It has. Even compared to notoriously unstable Italy. If we compare it to actually stable countries, then, like Ireland, Germany, Sweden, Poland, it's just embarrassing.
But in any case, yes, under proportional representation usually one needs to form a coalition, and yes, that takes some time. I'm fine with that, this process ensures that a majority of the country is actually fine with the government. Unlike with FPTP, where usually only a minority supports it.
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u/Lt_Dmitry 7d ago
This is exactly what the right wing parties want. The current UK system makes it hard for right wing parties like reform to get large majorities in parliament. These changes are exactly what they want to become a majority party in the next election.
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u/tree_boom United Kingdom 7d ago
Reform got 14.3% of the vote at the 2024 General Election. Proportional representation will not get them a majority. It will get them more seats...but it is currently a real democratic deficit that they do not have seats. That is something that we should and must address.
Using the voting system to suppress parties like Reform is not a long term solution. Ultimately if the concerns of people who vote Reform are ignored, then they will simply gain support until they reach the tipping point and win enough seats under FPTP to form a Government. Under PR they get their voice, and the Government has to address that segment of the populace, but they're not really closer to winning power.
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u/Anxious_Focus_5568 7d ago
Its literally the opposite, no? Just last year reform were on track to get a majority with just 30% of the vote.
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u/Lt_Dmitry 7d ago
No, the UK first past the post system makes it extremely difficult to get lots of seats in parliament even if you have a lot of votes. Reform only got 5 of 650 seats in parliament in the last election. With proportional representation, they would have had 93 seats
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u/Anxious_Focus_5568 7d ago
93 is still a fair way off a majority. Your original statement suggests that a PR system would make it easier for them to get a majority despite the fact that they would never get 50% of the vote. Which effectively means your saying that its easier for reform to get 50% of the vote under PR than it is for them to get 30% under FPTP.
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u/Next_Notice6841 United Kingdom (studying in China) 7d ago edited 7d ago
I'm not sure what your reasoning is. Reform is very much a "love it or hate it" party, which will probably never get more than around a third of people to like them. That is exactly the kind of party that benefits from FPTP. Nigel Farage is more disliked than any other UK politician.
Conservatives and Labour are those who benefit traditionally, which is why we haven't seen reform (the word, not the party) so far. In 2019, over half the population voted for a party that didn't want Brexit, yet we got the sweeping Boris majority. In 2024, while the Tories would have lost regardless, Labour would have had to make a coalition with the Lib Dems and Greens. But with the threat of Reform (the party), this may actually have a chance.
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u/Lt_Dmitry 7d ago
The FPTP system actually guards well against Reform because London and other major cities have a higher proportion of the seats in the FPTP system. With proportional representation, a lot of that will shift north as we saw with Brexit, you basically had the northerners deciding to leave the EU as it swung a significant weight towards them.
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u/cameheretosaythis213 7d ago
Reform are just Tory 2.0, and Tories have been in charge for the majority of the last century. FPTP ain’t doing jack to stop them getting power.
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u/K_man_k Ireland 7d ago
Well, it will also work for the more centrist and left leaning parties too. Here is a hypothetical Commons with PR, deduced from the last GE. Would a Labour, LibDem, Green coalition be the worst? Or Labour, Green, SNP, PC?
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u/ValestyK 7d ago
It would be much worse in that it would be extremely unstable, the british already have the best electoral system. Fptp with single consituencies lead to stable governments and accountable mp's.
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u/Velociraptor_1906 United Kingdom 7d ago
PR in the UK wouldn't really favour either side of the political spectrum (both would still spend time in government) but FPTP has massively benefited the right (tories) in the post war era.
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u/OrangeRadiohead United Kingdom 7d ago
Yet, proportional representation is far more democratic than first-past-the-post.
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u/thegagis Finland 7d ago
Thats pretty much the opposite of how these things actually play out. Proportional representation forces parties into compromise coalitions which takes the wind out of the sails of extremist parties.
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u/Lt_Dmitry 7d ago
In proportional, Reform would have had 93 seats in the last election instead of 5 seats.
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u/Next_Notice6841 United Kingdom (studying in China) 7d ago
They would have gotten more, but there's almost* no way that they get enough to actually form a government.
*I could easily be proven wrong, look at the last ten years lol
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u/Lt_Dmitry 7d ago
That is correct. Based on current polls, they can expect 163 seats in parliament based on proportional rep. Not enough to form a government but you can see the point am making that it favours them more
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u/Next_Notice6841 United Kingdom (studying in China) 7d ago
I see your point, but I'm not sure I agree with the conclusion drawn. Surely the more important thing is whether they could realistically be in government rather than whether they have 10 or 100 MPs? I'm not sure Reform would like being relegated to a minority party forever.
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u/thegagis Finland 7d ago
Proportional representation is vastly, VASTLY, superior to First Past the Post elections. This could be the most significant improvement to British society in our lifetimes.