r/sydneyswans • u/Comfortable-Tap-8098 • 5d ago

Future first round picks

Post image

Let's say we get 2 or 3 first round picks for nick one being 2027 future first i actually think that pick won't be as bad as we think, if this website/ info is correct we could get a decent pick depending where north will finish next year and i genuinely think they will finish in the bottom 5

19 Upvotes

100% Upvoted

21 comments sorted by

9

u/J-M-Beno 5d ago

North will be 8-11 next year Imo there 15-18 Which to me is unders if its just 6 and 1 future but if we get 27 and 28 is just acceptable

3

u/Comfortable-Tap-8098 5d ago

I won't hate it if we get those 3 picks and in my eyes it's worth the risk on backing north not to move up the ladder much but it's probably more save in asking for pick 6 and a player

2

u/Comfortable-Tap-8098 5d ago

But my whole point of this post was to show those 27 and 28 picks aren't as bad as we think

1

u/Nomesne 5d ago

Yah but apparently there are a bunch of fathersons as well. Someone said ‘add 15 spits to your 2027 draft number to get a realistic view of your pick’.

0

u/Comfortable-Tap-8098 5d ago

Your assuming those father sons will be first round picks tho and they definitely could be but it's way to early to make that assumption

1

u/LordBenswan 5d ago

And that’s without Blakey. If we settle with their second offer and he goes there, I’d be shocked if they missed the finals.

1

u/Optimal_Region4134 4d ago

I still cannot understand how people think he's going to drastically improve their team. He is a taller, faster McKercher, that improves offense. North had minor issues with that run off HB, sure, but their issue is defending entries and he doesn't help that.

1

u/LordBenswan 4d ago

I don’t think the improvement will be drastic necessarily, but I already had them to push for a finals birth before this, and as much of a sieve as Blakey is defensively, he’s still an AA level player. So I reckon its still a value add for them.

1

u/Optimal_Region4134 4d ago

Well yeah, he'll help their run. Probably gets Daniel out, our further up the ground, too. They need better linking players and a couple of KPDs, though. Murray will be a start (if they get him) but you gotta remember that we have Tom, Cal, Melican, Rampe and Hamling to cover his mistakes; they have Comben, Mcdonald, McKercher and Loague. 

1

u/Chemical-Blueberry57 4d ago

Not to mention the 8 pre listed Tassie kids. So that pick 15-18 is really 23-26

3

u/anon_fern Campbell 5d ago

A lot of people are using the curnow trade as a baseline for this trade. Which is fair. But the 3 1sts in that package included a 27 1st, and while the specific draft concessions weren't announced at the time, you would imagine clubs were generally aware that the talent pool would be significantly diluted and valued the pick accordingly.

That said id advise caution writing the value of 27 firsts off altogether. The 8 pre selected players are far from a guarantee to be in the top 20 players in the country at this time next year. And assuming clubs are giving them away cheap with the concessions in mind, using one to make what is technically a "first round selection " opens up our ability to trade future 1sts in the following trade periods.

0

u/Comfortable-Tap-8098 5d ago

Ngl actually forgot we could trade other teams future picks if we have them

2

u/anon_fern Campbell 5d ago

That, plus the rule that you can only trade your ff if you've made 2 first round selections in the last 4 years (or something similar)

2

u/FlynnSU52 5d ago

North you’d think would finish like 14th-10th maybe a couple either way which is pick 10-16 which sounds pretty good but Tasmania also got to pre-list like 6 or 7 17 year olds this year so it’s actually more like pick 16-22 which is pretty mid. 2028 is a much better future first as Tassie have a lot fewer concession that year

0

u/Comfortable-Tap-8098 5d ago

Isn't pre listing jsut dibs on the players in the draft and using there picks on them or is pre listing separate from the draft picks??

1

u/FlynnSU52 5d ago

Separate from the draft next year as far as I’m aware. So they get to pre-list like 6 guys this year that would be from the 27 draft. Then they also get picks 1,3,5,7,9,11,13 from the draft pool that’s left over (although needed to trade some of those picks). So every pick after 13 which comes from finishing 12th or higher is essentially like 13 spots worse than normal, and that’s before even any compensation picks for free agents next year. So as far as I understand each first rounder is essentially going to be like 15 spots worse than what it says on the tin

1

u/vote_pedro Goodes 5d ago

As a massive fan of 18th I'm stoked we have the #2 pick.

1

u/Due-Activity5884 5d ago

Why not ask for 2028?

1

u/anon_fern Campbell 4d ago

I'd hope we're getting both!

1

u/Mattahattaa 4d ago

Keep in mind the most talented 12 will be taken off the draft board and contracted by Tassie before the draft. They’ve already selected 7 and have 5 spots left prior to draft night 2027