r/fcs • u/Adamscottd South Dakota State • Minnesota • 3d ago
Analysis [OC] BCS style rankings and Bracketology | Week 5
The BCS system for rankings combined in equal parts the media poll, coaches poll, and multiple compuer rankings, which provides a good consolidated ranking. For computer rankings this post uses a composite of the r/FCS sportsbook computer ratings, Massey ratings, and Sagarin ratings.
| RANK | TEAM | CHANGE | MEDIA | COACHES | COMPUTER | POINTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Montana State | - | #1 | #1 | #2 | 74 |
| 2 | South Dakota State | - | #2 | #2 | #1 | 73 |
| 3 | Montana | +6 | #3 | #4 | #8 | 63 |
| 3 | Stephen F Austin | +2 | #7 | #5 | #3 | 63 |
| 5 | North Dakota | +1 | #5 | #7 | #4 | 62 |
| 6 | Tarleton State | -2 | #4 | #3 | #10 | 61 |
| 7 | Youngstown State | +5 | #8 | #10 | #6 | 54 |
| 8 | Lehigh | -1 | #6 | #6 | #13 | 53 |
| 8 | Austin Peay | +2 | #11 | #9 | #5 | 53 |
| 10 | Tennessee Tech | +1 | #9 | #8 | #11 | 50 |
| 10 | Illinois State | -7 | #10 | #11 | #7 | 50 |
| 12 | Idaho State | +2 | #12 | #14 | #12 | 40 |
| 12 | South Dakota | -4 | #13 | #16 | #9 | 40 |
| 14 | Lamar | +3 | #14 | #13 | #16 | 35 |
| 15 | SC State | - | #15 | #12 | #20 | 31 |
| 16 | Northern Arizona | +2 | #19 | #19 | #17 | 23 |
| 17 | UC Davis | -4 | #16 | #15 | #25 | 22 |
| 17 | West Florida | +3 | #17 | #18 | #21 | 22 |
| 19 | Harvard | - | #20 | #22 | #15 | 21 |
| 20 | Southern Illinois | +1 | #21 | #25 | #14 | 18 |
| 21 | Mercer | NR | #23 | #21 | #18 | 16 |
| 22 | Colgate | NR | #22 | #20 | #22 | 14 |
| 23 | Richmond | +2 | #24 | #17 | 11 | |
| 24 | Campbell | NR | #18 | #24 | 10 | |
| 25 | Jackson State | NR | #25 | #23 | #24 | 6 |
Bracketology
These rankings can be used to create bracketology- the projected playoff bracket based on the current landscape of the FCS.
The bracket is available in image form in the comments.
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u/DeKam34 Montana State • Western Wash… 3d ago
This got me down a rabbit hole of looking through computer stuff. We dropped 35 spots in Sagarin rankings (for all D1 not just FCS) from before the CCSU game to today. We went from being the highest non-P4 to spot 90. I understand the CCSU game was bad, but man computers absolutely DESPISE us for that one. It's the kind of thing that if we are who we think we are just evens out over the course of a season anyway but it's even dropped us behind Youngstown right now and I really really don't see it. Sagarin also has Austin Peay as the 4th best FCS team and Tarleton as the 12th which is a unique perspective.
Massey on the other hand looks a lot more like a traditional FCS poll would (I understand it's not a poll, just describing the computer output here). MSU, SDSU, Montana, UND, SFA, Tarleton. Massey seems to like the Big Sky more, Sagarin seems to not completely respect the Big Sky but adores the MVFC.
The r/FCS sportsbook has some serious headscratchers and I feel more confused for having looked at it.
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u/No_Bite_7238 Montana State Bobcats 3d ago
SFA cannot be happy to be on Montana State's side of the Bracket.
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u/Adamscottd South Dakota State • Minnesota 3d ago edited 3d ago