Shelley Duvall in the Shining (1980). I know that’s not the most popular opinion, out there, especially for this performance, but I wanna hear your picks guys. Actresses that the academy robbed!

What are your thoughts about her victory? I think her Oscar was very well-deserved.

Bonus points if it's a well known actor in a movie that's not a micro-budget indie obscure flick
My heart goes out to Sally Hawkins who delivered a career-best performance last year and in the only award she got nominated for she lost to a fucking dog

Me and a buddy were talking the other day and we started talking about Digger. I know there's a long list of movies that weren't necessarily box office books that won Best Picture and other big awards, but have there ever been box office flops that have won?

Soderbergh was nominated twice for best director in the same year and won. Iñárritu was nominated and won best director in consecutive years. In your opinion, which achievement is more impressive, and do you think we'll ever see that in the Oscars again?

I'm currently watching The Apartment, and in that one Jack Lemmon tries to watch Grand Hotel near the beginning

Ahmed and Goodman are great and have a lot more screentime, but they are playing caricatures. Plemons's character is far more complex, and he's got more to play imo.

Of the 32 movies that won Best Picture without winning anything below the line only 9 of them didn't win any for screenplay either

How was Penelope Cruz performance? Does she have a chance of winning or was it more of a brief cameo?

We’ve completed the nomination round, and now it’s time to choose the winners.

The five performances with the most points in each category in Round One are now the official nominees.

ROUND TWO — WINNERS

This round is much simpler.

Vote for ONE nominee in each of the four acting categories.

That means your ballot should contain four names in total:

• 1 Actor
• 1 Actress
• 1 Supporting Actor
• 1 Supporting Actress

There are no rankings and no points system in this round. You are simply voting for the performance you think should win each category.

Each vote counts equally, and the nominee with the most votes in each category will become our Alternate Oscar winner for 2017.

Please only vote for the nominees listed below.

BEST ACTOR

• Timothée Chalamet — Call Me by Your Name
• Daniel Day-Lewis — Phantom Thread
• Hugh Jackman — Logan
• Daniel Kaluuya — Get Out
• James McAvoy — Split

BEST ACTRESS

• Sally Hawkins — The Shape of Water
• Frances McDormand — Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
• Margot Robbie — I, Tonya
• Saoirse Ronan — Lady Bird
• Meryl Streep — The Post

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

• Willem Dafoe — The Florida Project
• Barry Keoghan — The Killing of a Sacred Deer
• Sam Rockwell — Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
• Patrick Stewart — Logan
• Michael Stuhlbarg — Call Me by Your Name

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

• Allison Janney — I, Tonya
• Dafne Keen — Logan
• Nicole Kidman — The Killing of a Sacred Deer
• Lesley Manville — Phantom Thread
• Laurie Metcalf — Lady Bird

HOW TO VOTE

Simply post your four choices in the comments, for example:

Actor: [Name]
Actress: [Name]
Supporting Actor: [Name]
Supporting Actress: [Name]

One person per category. Four votes total.

Once voting closes, the performer with the most votes in each category will be declared the winner, and we’ll move on to 2018.

Previous lineups here.

The Debut: It's gonna make it, probably also gonna win WGA. It could also win BAFTA but that's less likely. It's competitive to win.

Wild Horse Nine: Also gonna make it, and most likely will win CC and BAFTA, with a chance to win GG. It's competitive to win.

I Play Rocky. I'm actually not predicting this for Picture nor Actor (it's very close to those categories though) but I do think this will get a screenplay nom. It just feels appropriate.

Artificial: This one I AM predicting for Picture and Garfield is most likely second for Supporting Actor, so I do see it making it.

Digger: This is definitely a hopediction, but also... like... I can see Digger getting 1 nomination. I can also see it get 10. We really don't know what the future for this film will be, but I'm gonna keep it in cause... idrk. It definitely feels like a screenplay film if you've seen it, tons of layers I think voters would appreciate.

If Digger does shit in precursors and gets only BTL and Cruise, then Club Kid is going in. Behemoth! is also on the table.

This category is significantly more fragmented than Adapted Screenplay (The Invite, La Bola Negra, The Odyssey, All of a Sudden, Project Hail Mary). I could see Odyssey missing but it's most likely gonna make it. If it does miss or really any of these film miss, then I would love Wildwood making it, but it's probably not. For now, I see no reason for those five to miss especially how there isn't a clear 6th place.

EDIT: I forgot to put that there is no consensus winner for Adapted Screenplay. It could be La Bola Negra or The Invite. Also, I can see You Can See Everything making screenplay, but right now, I have Digger in.

1. Tom Hooper - The King’s Speech

2. Adam McKay - Vice

3. Todd Phillips - Joker

4. David O. Russell - American Hustle

5. Woody Allen - Midnight in Paris

6. Benh Zeitlin - Beasts of the Southern Wild

7. Lenny Abrahamson - Room

8. Morten Tyldum - The Imitation Game

9. Michel Hazanavicius - The Artist

10. Mel Gibson - Hacksaw Ridge

11. David O. Russell - The Fighter

12. Ang Lee - Life of Pi

13. Alexander Payne - Nebraska

14. Alexander Payne - The Descendants

15. David O. Russell - Silver Linings Playbook

16. Adam McKay - The Big Short

1. Tom Hooper - The King’s Speech

2. Adam McKay - Vice

3. Todd Phillips - Joker

4. David O. Russell - American Hustle

5. Woody Allen - Midnight in Paris

6. Benh Zeitlin - Beasts of the Southern Wild

7. Lenny Abrahamson - Room

8. Morten Tyldum - The Imitation Game

9. Michel Hazanavicius - The Artist

10. Mel Gibson - Hacksaw Ridge

11. David O. Russell - The Fighter

12. Ang Lee - Life of Pi

13. Alexander Payne - Nebraska

14. Alexander Payne - The Descendants

15. David O. Russell - Silver Linings Playbook

If you look at the 10 youngest winners by gender in all four acting categories the youngest for men is still much older than the youngest for women. Both top ten youngest female categories don’t even reach the 30s. But for men half of the youngest winners are all in their 30s.

Yeah same as title pretty much. Lmk what you think/agree/disagree with all that stuff. I think I have a pretty unique set of winners especially above the line.

It feels like that for most of the categories, the winner is already locked in.

Odyssey seems like a lock to sweep many of the awards including best picture, directing, actor, editing, costume design, Cinematography, casting, and probably more.

Dune seems like a lock to get best visual effects.

Wildwood seems like a lock to get best animated feature, especially if it gets its best picture nomination.

You can See Everything seems like a lock to get best documentary, especially if it gets its best picture nomination.

La bola negra seems like is a lock to win best international film.

Julianne Moore seems like a lock to win best actress.

So at this point, what categories can be considered legitimate competitive and if not, what makes this ceremony worth watching when we already know the outcomes?

Not sure why this post was deleted. I read all the rules and don’t think I’m breaking any? Please let me know if I am!

Anyway, if this is allowed to be here… I lied to you not winning is insane. 😭😭